“A recession is not inevitable,” Goldman’s David Kostin reiterated, in a new note. “But clients
Author: therealheisenberg
Fed’s George Talks Stock Selloff. McElligott Sees ‘Real-Time Downshift’
“Bleeders all over the place,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Thursday, as the recession choir sang.
Existing Home Sales Drop Again. More Declines Called ‘Imminent’
More cracks in the foundation? Or perhaps it’s “just a supply thing.” You can write
Expectations Crash In Poor Philly Fed Survey
Strike up the recession band. Just three days after Empire manufacturing plunged the most since
Kohl’s Mine Canary
Normally, I wouldn’t dedicate space to Kohl’s earnings, but considering this week’s retail wipeout and
Fatalism Sets In: ‘It No Longer Makes Sense To Own Stocks’
“This call has proved wrong,” said Eric Johnston, head of equity derivatives at Cantor. “It
‘Aha!’ Moment Razes Fed’s Soft Landing Fable
“Hedge fund hell.” “$34 chicken wings?” “El-Erian says US can’t avoid stagflation.” “Americans more stressed
Target’s ‘Since 1987’ Collapse Sends Macro Warning
On Tuesday, Walmart suffered what I described as a “black swan” moment, when the company’s
Why The S&P May Have ‘25% Upside’ By Year-End
If you believe the bond market speaks to us through the curve, the recession clock
Mr. Powell, Tear Down This Housing Bubble!
US housing starts and building permits fell in April, data out Wednesday showed. Markets are
UK’s Inflation Crisis Rolls On, Jolted By Energy Shock
The UK’s cost of living crisis escalated in April, when consumer prices rose the most
Powell Or Pozsar?
Jerome Powell is going to “keep pushing” until US inflation abates in “a clear and
Walmart’s Black Swan Moment
Walmart follows a simple corporate creed: Everyday low prices. Other retailers purport to follow a
$900 Billion Is The Most Pessimistic Ever
The outlook for global growth has never been worse. That was one, among several, key
Stock Melt-Up May Be Imminent. Careful What You Wish For
This is a “precarious time for bears,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Tuesday, as calls for
Americans Kept Shopping In April. Maybe That’s Bad
US retail sales were solid in April, closely watched data out Tuesday suggested. The headline
Musk, Twitter And The Art Of The Propaganda Coup
Elon Musk submitted more evidence on Tuesday attesting to the notion that when you’re the
Cash Levels Highest Since 9/11 As Investors Abandon Stocks, Short Tech
“Extremely bearish.” That’s how BofA’s Michael Hartnett described the May vintage of the bank’s Global
Treasury Market Risks ‘Vicious Liquidity Feedback Loop’
“For risk-free assets to be so risky is bound to be problematic,” SocGen’s Andrew Lapthorne
Why Stocks And Bonds Could Lose Another $20 Trillion
“[It’s] rare to see both bonds and equities losing so much at the same time,”
‘Not There Yet’: Top Strategist Says S&P May Fall To 3,400
Stocks are oversold and Treasury yields may have stabilized after running sharply higher, setting the
Bernanke Grabs Headlines With Sorkin On Eve Of Book Release
“I think in retrospect, yes, it was a mistake,” Ben Bernanke told Andrew Ross Sorkin,
‘Necessary’ Slowdown Doesn’t Mean Massive Job Losses, Goldman Says
Last week, Bill Dudley said the Fed should stop “sugarcoating” the message. He meant that
Wild Drop In Empire Gauge Fans US Growth Fears
On Sunday, I wrote that May prints on the Empire and Philly gauges (both due
China’s Retail Sales Plunge As Key Data Highlights Lockdown Cost
Chinese economic activity decelerated sharply in April, data out Monday showed. Despite near daily assurances
Stocks, Bonds, Sentiment Enter New Week At Breaking Point
Traders and investors enter the back half of May in decidedly poor spirits. Ironically, that
Goldman Cuts US GDP Forecast. Cites Consumer Slowdown
“Alternative data” suggests US consumer spending slowed over the past several weeks, “perhaps” in response
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