Dimon, Cohn, And Why KBW Says You ‘Can’t Ignore’ Impact Of Trump’s Meltdown

Well, bank stocks underperformed on Wednesday and that shouldn’t come as a surprise.

The financials are another “Trump trade” and while they’re still clinging to some of their post-election outperformance relative to the broad market, days like today don’t help.

Here’s a look a the relative performance of the KBW Bank index since the election:

BanksSPY

Again, it was “Trump bump” and then sideways, as the curve flattened and the administration’s agenda hit roadblock after roadblock.

Now have a look at what we saw on Wednesday as things went from bad to worse for Trump and as the Fed minutes showed the committee is concerned about the outlook for inflation and fiscal policy:

Banks

Yeah.

Meanwhile, following reports that Gary Cohn was extremely upset after Tuesday’s Trump meltdown, Wall Street is wondering how he’ll ultimately react.

The Street “is focused intently on how U.S. National Economic Council Director Gary Cohn will react to President Donald Trump’s recent statements after the events in Charlottesville, because of tax reform in the near-term and the Fed chairmanship in the medium-term,” Compass Point’s Isaac Boltansky wrote in an e-mail to Bloomberg earlier today.

And don’t forget this from Jamie Dimon:

Dimon

There you go.

Finally, when you think about what this means going forward, consider the following out from KBW’s Brian Gardner this afternoon:

  • The impact to President Donald Trump’s economic agenda, particularly tax reform, from controversy surrounding comments about protests in Charlottesville can’t be ignored
  • Trump’s failure to clearly and unambiguously condemn racist and bigoted behavior has further divided him from key members of his own party, created chaos among his staff, and alienated support within the business community; this week’s events are complicating future collaboration
  • Financial deregulation narrative may be intact as KBW had expected agenda would be accomplished at regulatory level (not via legislation); some regulatory actions may be imperiled if key regulators resign or if the administration fails to find personnel to run agencies
  • Items requiring congressional action such as blocking CFPB’s arbitration rule or raising Dodd-Frank thresholds now face higher hurdles
  • Tax reform was always going to be “heavy lift”; may be even harder now

 

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6 thoughts on “Dimon, Cohn, And Why KBW Says You ‘Can’t Ignore’ Impact Of Trump’s Meltdown

  1. But you have to wonder who’s more dangerous – is it Trump with his awful tendencies laid bare for the world to see or is it the slick Wall Street CEOs who pay lip service to equality but ensure the continuation of an inequality from which they benefit

  2. the violence started from all i have seen from the non pro white group, so jamie diamond is either misinformed or just trying to hard to get minority customers

    • Why can’t anyone offering a counter argument to condemning violence against diversity spell? It’s “too hard” not “to hard”. This was taught in 1st grade.

      • As a former English teacher Raskin, I often shudder when media employees incorrectly use personal pronouns. After all, they are in the business of communication. Many in the media use “I” after transitive verbs, or after prepositions for example. But alas, they will only get worse. Your correction of “to” versus “too” is one that would keep you busy every minute of every day just correcting bloggers.
        So, I have given up correcting others for my own peace of mind. LOL.

      • RASKIN, also one of my pet peeves!! I’d like to tell ’em if your gonna use the words, please be sure you’re choices are the right ones and please get there favorites in their! Otherwise, just give ’em a peace of your mind!

        – Murphy

    • So the people that were run over by the white supremacist, and the young woman who died, had it coming?

      If your chosen sources of news have only shown you footage to support the narrative that the nazis were the victims in all of this, you really need to reconsider your sources. Further, if the only people that agree with you are nazis, you might just be on the wrong side of the issue. Food for thought.

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