‘Chain Reaction’ Strikes: Stocks Dive As Sudden Bund Selloff Triggers Bond Bloodbath
“The magnitude of the sell-off is excessive”…
Search Results for: trump stock market
Nomura: 3 Ways The ‘Goldilocks’ Market Could End (Now Cue The 3 Bears)
“Markets have been pricing in a Goldilocks scenario: benign growth, low inflation and slow central banks and therefore high valuations and low implied volatility.”
Stocks Fall Across The Globe As Hawkish Central Banks, Washington Jitters Roil Risk
Well, the overnight action was predictable under the circumstances, but it’s nevertheless unnerving for anyone
If CEOs Are So Damn Happy About Trump, Why Aren’t The Numbers Reflecting It?
“If CEOs are more likely to be Republican, then partisanship could explain the weirdly high CEO confidence numbers.”
It’s The Politics Stupid! BIS Flags A “Scary” Change In The Market’s Mindset
“Underlying a number of these changes was a shift of market participants’ attention away from monetary policy and towards political events.”
Chart Of The Day: Asset Prices In The Trump Era
See if you can spot what’s still hanging on for dear life at record highs/tights despite lackluster incoming data and central bank tightening…
Darth Trader: “This Is Why I Am Shorting US Stocks”
“After many months of fighting all the naysayers predicting the next big stock market crash, I am finally succumbing to the seductive story of the dark side, and getting negative on equities.”
Qatar In Crisis: A Guide To Markets, Sanctions, And Why A 20% Devaluation May Be In The Cards
In a week that was supposed to dominated by James Comey, Mario Draghi, and the
Safety Sought: Yen Rallies As Markets Nervously Eye Potentially Dangerous Thursday
So on Sunday, in our week ahead preview, we noted that Thursday would bring a
Goldman On Trump: “Prospects Have Deteriorated Much More Than We Would Have Imagined”
“Most recent presidents have been able to enact at least one key piece of legislation in their first year, and occasionally two or three before their first midterm election. This year, it appears unlikely that any of the Administration’s key legislative priorities will be enacted by the fall, and it looks increasingly doubtful that any will be enacted in the first year.”
Nikkei Tops 20,000 On Batshit Crazy BoJ Balance Sheet; Global Stocks Rise Ahead Of Jobs
Well, the Nikkei crossed 20,000 for the first time since 2015 overnight. And really, why
Albert Edwards: “The Reflation Trade Is Trump-Inspired Fake News”
“The last time volatility in the US bond market was this low (and complacency this high), 10y yields spiked up some 150bp in only four months as part of Bernanke’s ‘Taper Tantrum’. “
Guest Post: Are Stock Traders Actually The Pessimists Here?
“Could it be utility stocks smell the coming economic slowdown ahead of the bond market?”
One Bank Talks Impeachment, Downside For Stocks, As Democrats Beg DoJ To “Fend Off” Trump
“They view the evolution of this probability as the major determinant of near-term equity performance. Our equity strategists think a 10% change in the assessed probability for a corporate tax plan is worth about 55 points for the S&P 500.”
Thanks Trump: Goldman Is Losing Faith In Goldman’s Ability To Get Anything Done
“The probability that tax legislation will be enacted by 2018 has fallen further, in our view, as a result of recent events. The last few weeks have taken a toll on President Trump’s approval rating as well as support for Republicans in Congress.”
“President’s Day”: Iran Is Voting, Brazil Is Panicking, Trump Is Traveling
It feels quiet in America on Friday morning. Maybe that’s because Donald Trump is leaving
Guest Post: Stock Market Shakeout
“Let’s hope I am not too early, and end up getting eaten by the shorts who are pressing their trade.”
Trump “Squeezing Lemon Juice Into Cuts With Every Tweet” – And Other Zingers From Analysts
“…the Deep State playing a long game of death by a thousand cuts … that Trump squeezes lemon juice into with each tweet and comment.”
There Are Tons Of Reasons To Sell – But Trump Isn’t One Of Them. Here’s Why…
“It sure looks to me like there really isn’t anything priced for Trump’s agenda any more.”
Global Markets Shudder: Impeachment “Makes It Difficult For Investors To Buy”
“I suppose the question is whether these are US political rain showers like the ones drenching London’s commuters, or real storms with lasting damage.”
Analyst: Short The Dollar, Trump Has Created “Political Storm”
“Regardless of the ultimate conclusion of the political storm over Trump’s actions on Russia and the security services, it will at the very least linger as a distraction that makes it more difficult for the White House to pass pro-growth policies.”
Trader: Stocks Are “Acting Like The Last Honest Man In Town”
“Equities investors are acting like the last honest man in town. Couldn’t care less about politics, geo or domestic. And aren’t ashamed to admit it. Give ’em tax cuts and deregulation and they’re happy. Throw in repatriation holidays to fund buybacks and they’re ecstatic. Add the sovereign wealth funds and they won’t even give you a dip to buy. Earnings per share is as outdated a concept as value investing. It is what it is, until it ain’t.”
What Are Markets Pricing In For The OPEC Meeting? Goldman Answers
On Thursday, we brought you our take on OPEC’s latest monthly report, highlighted BofAML’s latest
Trader: They Ruined My Day, But Stocks Are Still “In A World Of Their Own”
“And then events tried to conspire to rob me of all of my sanguineness”…
Listen Up! Goldman Has Some Bad News For Markets About Trump’s Healthcare “Win”
“In isolation this legislative victory is likely to be interpreted as bullish for other aspects of the agenda, including tax reform.”
Today’s Word Is “Bigly”: Here Comes Trump’s Terrific, Tremendous, Tax Plan
Today’s word is “bigly.” No wait, “phenomenal.” No wait, “massive.” Yeah, that’s it. “Massive.” All
It’s Tuesday And This Market “Sees No Demons”
“With French political risk significantly reduced (even if there’s still a two-week second round campaign to negotiate), an improving global economy, steadier oil prices, and most of all, range-bound US yields and a lack of fear of rapid Fed tightening, investors see few demons and are off in search of yield.”
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