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Category: Markets

Bush Death Complicates ‘Binary’ G20 Trade As Trump Cancels Presser, Closes Market On December 5

December 1, 2018December 1, 2018

“There’s a lot of Dec7th paper out there.”

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3 Comments on Bush Death Complicates ‘Binary’ G20 Trade As Trump Cancels Presser, Closes Market On December 5

Jerome Powell’s Job Is Done Here – It’s All Up To Trump Now

November 30, 2018December 1, 2018

Don’t screw this up, Mr. President…

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Results May Variable.

November 30, 2018

More fading of the persistent hikes narrative…

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Meanwhile, In Leveraged Loan Bubble Land…

November 30, 2018

This is fine…

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‘Greeks’ In Argentina, ‘Systematic’ Chaos And A Binary Nightmare In Buenos Aires

November 30, 2018

“It’s gonna be mental.”

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2 Comments on ‘Greeks’ In Argentina, ‘Systematic’ Chaos And A Binary Nightmare In Buenos Aires

Bob Lighthizer Would Be ‘Surprised’ If One Dinner With Xi Doesn’t Solve Highly Complex, Intractable Trade Dispute

November 30, 2018

“Our base case is that there will be no agreement.”

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3 Comments on Bob Lighthizer Would Be ‘Surprised’ If One Dinner With Xi Doesn’t Solve Highly Complex, Intractable Trade Dispute

The Mystery Of The Diverging Dollar Shortage Metrics

November 29, 2018

A week ago, we suggested the dollar funding squeeze was about to get worse. And it did. Sort of…

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Fed Minutes Tip Support For Modifying Hike Commitment, Presage Imminent IOER Tweak

November 29, 2018November 29, 2018

Just in case traders needed a bit more to ponder…

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‘Buenos Aires, Not Vienna’: Oil Traders Brace As G20 Seen More Critical Than OPEC Gathering

November 29, 2018November 29, 2018

You don’t have to be a political scientist or an oil trader…

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oil1 Comment on ‘Buenos Aires, Not Vienna’: Oil Traders Brace As G20 Seen More Critical Than OPEC Gathering

‘I Expect Them Before Christmas’: Trump’s Auto Tariffs Now Appear Foregone Conclusion

November 29, 2018November 29, 2018

“The U.S.A. is booming!”

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1 Comment on ‘I Expect Them Before Christmas’: Trump’s Auto Tariffs Now Appear Foregone Conclusion

If You Already Sold It All, You Don’t Need To Hedge…

November 28, 2018November 28, 2018

Right up until Wednesday at lunchtime, there was a lot of fear out there.

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1 Comment on If You Already Sold It All, You Don’t Need To Hedge…

Synthetic Short Gamma, More CTA Levels And ‘The Moment Everything Broke’

November 28, 2018

“The local pain-trade remains Equities higher.”

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And So, Just After Lunch On November 28, The ‘Powell Put’ Was Born…

November 28, 2018October 20, 2021

I suppose the history books will read as follows…

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3 Comments on And So, Just After Lunch On November 28, The ‘Powell Put’ Was Born…

Dovish Jerome Powell Walks It Back And The Market Loves It

November 28, 2018November 28, 2018

Is this what you were looking for?

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3 Comments on Dovish Jerome Powell Walks It Back And The Market Loves It

Confusion Reigns As Goldman Swears Everybody Is Reading Fed Wrong

November 28, 2018

“…we appear to be morphing into that point of the cycle where you need an advanced degree in semiotics and textual analysis to ‘understand’ what the central bank is saying.”

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Mike Novogratz ‘Had A Fever’ – And The ‘Prescription’ Is Now Killing Him

November 28, 2018October 20, 2021

“Guess what?!”

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Feeling Good About The G20? One Bank Has An Idea On How To Trade It

November 28, 2018

“Enjoy!”

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Let’s Count All The Ways Steve Mnuchin’s Secret Fed Policy Straw Poll With Bond Dealers Is Absurd

November 28, 2018November 28, 2018

“Ok you guys, show of hands”…

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3 Comments on Let’s Count All The Ways Steve Mnuchin’s Secret Fed Policy Straw Poll With Bond Dealers Is Absurd

Trump’s Infallible ‘Gut’ Is ‘Not Even A Little Bit Happy’ With ‘Jay’ Powell, Ok?!

November 27, 2018

“…the Fed is way off-base.”

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6 Comments on Trump’s Infallible ‘Gut’ Is ‘Not Even A Little Bit Happy’ With ‘Jay’ Powell, Ok?!

Rotten Apple: When One Company Becomes Synonymous With The Macro Story

November 27, 2018November 27, 2018

Sorry to employ a bad (and horribly obvious) cliché, but…

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16 Comments on Rotten Apple: When One Company Becomes Synonymous With The Macro Story

As G20 ‘Binary Nightmare’ Looms, Here Are The Key CTA Levels To Watch

November 27, 2018October 20, 2021

“Yeah…this is gonna be a binary nightmare to trade.”

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1 Comment on As G20 ‘Binary Nightmare’ Looms, Here Are The Key CTA Levels To Watch

2018’s Star Analyst Makes The Case For A 2019 Earnings Recession

November 27, 2018November 27, 2018

There’s a simple formula.

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Albert Edwards Preps ‘Forecaster Of the Decade Award’ And Other Fed Musings From SocGen

November 27, 2018October 20, 2021

“…if the Fed indeed stops tightening after the December hike, Solomon will be spot on.”

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Trade Optimism Dashed As Trump Doubles Down, Threatens iPhone Tariffs

November 26, 2018October 20, 2021

“If we don’t make a deal, then I’m going to”…

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Mike’s Back: Analyst Who Predicted Tech ‘Rain Storm’ Releases 2019 U.S. Equity Outlook

November 26, 2018November 26, 2018

The man with the plan.

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1 Comment on Mike’s Back: Analyst Who Predicted Tech ‘Rain Storm’ Releases 2019 U.S. Equity Outlook

Algos, Onions And Foreign Policy: Goldman Delivers Epic Critique Of Broken Commodities Markets

November 26, 2018November 26, 2018

“This is simply unsustainable”.

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oil1 Comment on Algos, Onions And Foreign Policy: Goldman Delivers Epic Critique Of Broken Commodities Markets

Looking For Something To Fade? Monday’s Furious Rally In Italian Assets Will Do

November 26, 2018November 26, 2018

You’d be forgiven for being skeptical.

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