“Are you a buyer of dips?”, an anchor asked a guest, during a painfully generic
Category: Markets
‘Event’ Risk
Most equity forecasts for 2022 are constructive. Even the “bearish” calls aren’t properly bearish. Morgan
Analysts, Investors Will Never Admit The Truth About Turkey
Recep Tayyip Erdogan was back above the fold across mainstream financial media outlets on Monday.
Are Fed Critics Overcorrecting For Recency Bias?
Nearly every media article about Fed policy and US inflation is a contradiction. Commentators and
The QE Addiction Metaphor Revisited
Debates about whether markets can “handle” a Fed tightening cycle and/or a reduction of the
Market Breadth Has Collapsed
While marveling at the disproportionate performance burden shouldered by a handful of index heavyweights, BofA’s
The Short Road To A Policy Error
Jerome Powell may have officially “retired” the word “transitory” as a description of elevated inflation
The Infallible Dip-Buyers
The latest swoon for US equities proved to be another opportunity. Once again, investors’ classical
‘Our Strategy Is Our Strategy’
It’s time to sell the rips in tech. Hold that thought. “So, if you’ve never
Sentiment Survey Reveals Unprecedented Disparities
Consumers’ expectations for inflation were unchanged in early December, the preliminary read on the University
‘The Fed Should Hike Next Week’
The Fed “could” and “should” hike rates next week. That’s according to BofA’s Michael Hartnett,
Herd Behavior
“You can’t ignore the policy signals,” Eddie Cheung, an EM strategist at Credit Agricole, said
The Great Rotation Fascination
I’ve variously characterized 2021 as a year during which thematic swings and factor reversals became
What Marko Kolanovic Sees For 2022
“Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an
D-Day Arrives For Evergrande
“There has been no announcement from the company or the trustee regarding the coupon payments
Mark It 5,200
On the heels of a massive three-day rally on Wall Street, analysts are raising their
How Broken Is The Vol Complex?
I’ve talked at length over the past year about imbalances in the vol complex and
S&P 5,000 By June (Or By Friday)
The S&P has a date with 5,000 by… well, by the end of the week
‘Tangible Risks’ As ‘2018 Redux’ Worries Grow
“It’s possible we won’t see the same pressure on the Fed to back off if
Searching For A Narrative
US equities catapulted higher Tuesday, capping a mammoth two-day rally and putting the S&P on
China Reaches Pain Threshold. Easing Cycle Seen Underway
After spending the better part of a year engineering a series of overlapping crises in
The ‘Blind Spot’: Traditional Portfolios’ Biggest Risk
What happens to the US equity market if macro volatility rises as a result of
Fed Put Re-Struck On ‘Tier 1 Political Hot Potato’
We’ve seen it before. The Fed pivots hawkish, only to recant in the face of
More Noise Than Signal
I’d call it a testament to rampant uncertainty, but it’s probably more accurate to say
Evergrande, Alibaba Meltdowns Exemplify China’s Engineered Crisis
Another day, another selloff in Chinese tech shares. The Hang Seng Tech Index dove more
China Slashes RRR As Economy Teeters
Just one business day after Premier Li Keqiang tipped incremental policy easing aimed at bolstering
Nothing Is More Political Than Inflation
Towards the end of “Bad Optics,” I spoke briefly about the political ramifications of persistently
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