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Category: Markets

War Drums

January 24, 2022January 31, 2022

Risk sentiment remained fragile Monday, as European shares warily eyed developments in Ukraine, where both

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12 Comments on War Drums

Prepare For Liftoff

January 23, 2022January 26, 2022

“Prepare for liftoff.” That’ll be the message from the January Fed meeting and what’s sure

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3 Comments on Prepare For Liftoff

Why Goldman Sees Risk Of Fed Tightening ‘At Every Meeting’

January 23, 2022January 24, 2022

Starting in March, the Fed could “take some tightening action at every meeting until the

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3 Comments on Why Goldman Sees Risk Of Fed Tightening ‘At Every Meeting’

The Real Cause Of Inflation

January 23, 2022March 4, 2022

On the eve of the January FOMC meeting, at which Jerome Powell will likely reiterate

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10 Comments on The Real Cause Of Inflation

One Bank’s Stark Warning: ‘It Is Not Looking Pretty’

January 22, 2022February 11, 2022

Given the overtly inauspicious character of recent market developments, a cautious cadence is warranted. I

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1 Comment on One Bank’s Stark Warning: ‘It Is Not Looking Pretty’

All Else Equal

January 22, 2022January 23, 2022

Lost in the cacophony of apocalyptic Fed pontificating is one simple reality: Financial conditions have

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2 Comments on All Else Equal

The Crypto Crash And The Fed’s Massive Ponzi Scheme

January 22, 2022January 29, 2022

It was liquidation time across the cryptoverse on Saturday. At one point, Bitcoin dropped to

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2 Comments on The Crypto Crash And The Fed’s Massive Ponzi Scheme

One Crowded Theater

January 21, 2022January 23, 2022

Last week, in “Something Wicked This Way Comes,” I said it’s “becoming more difficult to

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3 Comments on One Crowded Theater

Only One Thing Matters Now

January 21, 2022January 22, 2022

Maybe it’s time for stock replacement strategies. That was one takeaway from two-dozen pages penned

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7 Comments on Only One Thing Matters Now

Gravity

January 21, 2022January 29, 2022

When viewed through the lens of real rates, it’s hardly surprising that any and all

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14 Comments on Gravity

Explaining Thursday’s Dramatic Stock Reversal

January 21, 2022January 22, 2022

If you’re wondering “Wha’ happened?!” on Thursday afternoon, when the bottom fell out for US

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When It Rains, You Watch Netflix

January 21, 2022January 21, 2022

When it rains it pours, I suppose. Just about the last thing US tech shares

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8 Comments on When It Rains, You Watch Netflix

Who’s Tired Of Jeremy Grantham?

January 20, 2022February 10, 2022

Jeremy Grantham just wants to help. That’s all. He said as much in the very

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22 Comments on Who’s Tired Of Jeremy Grantham?

Don’t Look Down

January 20, 2022January 21, 2022

This time is different. As ever, those four words are very dangerous when arranged in

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7 Comments on Don’t Look Down

‘Bare Shelves’ Beget Sudden Drop In US Home Sales

January 20, 2022January 27, 2022

A lack of supply weighed on US home sales last month, data out Thursday showed.

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2 Comments on ‘Bare Shelves’ Beget Sudden Drop In US Home Sales

The Case For A Counter-Trend Stock Rally

January 20, 2022January 21, 2022

US equities labored under the tyrannical overhang of “huge VWAP-style selling pressure” during Wednesday’s choppy

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Dead Heart Defibrillator

January 20, 2022January 20, 2022

Chinese policymakers coaxed a rally out of downtrodden equities Thursday. The Hang Seng China Enterprises

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When Every Trade Is A Crowded Trade

January 19, 2022January 25, 2022

When the headlines start to get repetitive, it usually means everyone’s on the same side

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5 Comments on When Every Trade Is A Crowded Trade

$1.2 Trillion Suffers From Cognitive Dissonance

January 19, 2022January 20, 2022

Nobody is worried about COVID anymore. Well, I shouldn’t say “nobody.” People dying from it

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4 Comments on $1.2 Trillion Suffers From Cognitive Dissonance

Stocks Saw Billions In Systematic Selling During Tuesday Rout

January 19, 2022January 21, 2022

Systematic flows may have weighed on equities early this week, as acute Fed fears pushed

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Morgan, BofA Close Book On Uninspired Bank Earnings

January 19, 2022January 19, 2022

The last of Q4’s big bank earnings came in mixed Wednesday, as Bank of America

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An Air Of Panic

January 19, 2022January 20, 2022

A Wednesday headline described the Fed’s “tightening steps” as “unprecedented.” I didn’t read the article.

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11 Comments on An Air Of Panic

This Is ‘The Most Critical Level In Global Markets’

January 18, 2022January 21, 2022

If you had to choose just one level to watch across the entire global markets

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6 Comments on This Is ‘The Most Critical Level In Global Markets’

Oil!

January 18, 2022January 23, 2022

Brent crude rose near $90 a barrel on Tuesday. Were it not for surging yields

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5 Comments on Oil!

Fever Pitch

January 18, 2022January 19, 2022

Wall Street marked an inauspicious start to a holiday-shortened week. Treasurys were heavy throughout the

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7 Comments on Fever Pitch

Goldman’s Traders Come Up Short, But IB Strong. Expenses Surge

January 18, 2022January 23, 2022

Even Goldman’s traders couldn’t quite measure up in Q4. Consistent with disappointing markets performance from

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Tech Dread Returns As US Yields Forget Pandemic

January 18, 2022January 18, 2022

It was back to hand-wringing over rising rates Tuesday, as the US came back online

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2 Comments on Tech Dread Returns As US Yields Forget Pandemic

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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