America may be nearing peak inflation, but that won’t be apparent in CPI figures for
Category: Markets
Bear Markets And The Biggest Fool’s Errand
This scarcely bears mentioning, but considering what stocks, rates and, increasingly, analysts, are saying about
‘Dead’ Bonds Could Be Screaming Buy As Downturn Looms
When it comes to portfolio diversifiers, Bridgewater isn’t sure whether bonds are “dead or in
US Stocks Are Trading A Hard Landing. Already
US equities are in the process of “moving on,” and in this context, that’s not
US Recession: ‘Soooo Consensus’
A trying week for markets and the international community ended with more bloodshed in Ukraine
The New World Order (Out Of Context)
Although context is key in most cases, sometimes it helps to assess news flow out
Albert Edwards: ‘Fed Funds Won’t Rise Beyond 1%’
Over the past two weeks, I’ve been especially keen to suggest that the Fed is
Fed Unveils QT Parameters. ‘A Few’ Officials Warn On Credibility
“Many” Fed officials believed “one or more” 50bps rate hikes may be warranted at future
Russia Default Odds Hit 99% As Yellen Forces Ruble Payment
As expected, the US is moving ahead with additional measures against high profile Russians and
‘Like Death’: Rates, Credit Confront Policy Reaper
Rates are trading “like death,” one popular strategist wrote, in a Wednesday note. Other analysts
Stocks ‘Incoherent’ As Mechanical Flows ‘Mask Macro’: McElligott
The mechanical rally that found US equities closing out an otherwise abysmal quarter on a
Something’s Going To Break
The worst bond selloff on record accelerated Wednesday, with the usual caveat that the move
G7 To Ban Investments In Russia As Sanctions Top 8,000
Russia was already the most sanctioned nation on the planet. As of Wednesday, it’ll extend
Russia, The Dollar And The Real Realpolitik
Janet Yellen may force Russia and, in some cases, the country’s corporate sector, into default.
Demand Destruction Or Bust
Equities and rates were a hopeless conundrum Tuesday ahead of the March Fed minutes which,
‘Bear Market Rally Over’: Wilson Unplugs Stock Rebound
I hope you enjoyed the bear market rally. Because it’s over now. Or at least
Bassman: Here’s What’s Happening With The Curve
Indeed the Fed has been slow in shutting down the money printing; and the market
Jamie Dimon Talks ‘Human Existence,’ ‘Explosive Situations’
JPMorgan is prepared for anything “in all times,” Jamie Dimon declared on Monday, in his
Fed’s Rate Hikes May Shatter 14-Year Dream State
Bill Dudley thinks a US recession is “inevitable.” Not everyone agrees. Asset prices, for example,
Cathie Wood Castigates Fed. Says Powell ‘Playing With Fire’
On Saturday evening, someone told me they were headed to their first cocktail party in
What ‘Usually’ Happens To The S&P After Curve Inversions
Stocks are looking past rising yields in part because the move in reals merely marks
Zoltan Pozsar’s Fairy Tale
Zoltan Pozsar scarcely needs to exalt himself. The financial media does that for him. In
Assets Not Pricing ‘Inevitable’ Recession, Former Dudley Employer Says
Inevitably, Bill Dudley’s “inevitable” recession call prompted pushback from some market participants and served as
Inversions And Reversions
It’s a good thing the yield curve doesn’t matter. If it did, we’d be in
Tiny Homes, Large Bubbles And The Biggest Picture
Earlier this week, shares of Toll Brothers fell sharply amid a broad decline in homebuilders
Jobs Report Clears Path For Fed To Hike US Into Recession
The US economy added 431,000 jobs in March, the BLS said Friday. It was another
Goldman Has 7 Reasons Why Stocks Didn’t Crash
Although the S&P just logged its first losing quarter since the onset of the pandemic,
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