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Ice Cream TACOs
I hesitate to weigh in on the near-term trajectory of... well, of anything, really. Tomorrow's not p
Tomorrow CPI – will the tariffs start to show? Will the specter of the Fed raising rates appear? Or, will the long-term effects of the Fed tightening finally show up with a lower than expected number, and incite the promise of Trump’s 100 basis point cut? Potential big moves either way. It sort of feels like a coin flip, which is not how I like to invest.
In addition, the VIX is way down. So Charlie’s vol toggle is spring-loaded right now. That’s with gunpowder on the streets of L.A. and Putin poised for payback in Ukraine.
The algos do not care about that geopolitical stuff. Unless or until it really starts to impact price movement. In other words, they follow rather than anticipate price action.
I sold a lot in Feb 2020, pretty astonished I could get out at decent prices then.
H-Man, call me crazy but China (via REE control) has the upperhand. Our military has told Trump without samarium our guidance systems, nuclear rods, missiles and jets don’t work including stealth technology. With that at stake Bessent is on the way home and there is no deal. I think China is going to show Trump they can squeeze him with REE and the king now has to get on a bended knee. I wouldn’t be surprised to see China bail on the 30 year auction in order to tighten the noose.
I must be in the wrong place. I came for The Heisenberg Report, but found myself reading The Descartes Report!
I never anticipated that I’d have to manage my investments from the Cuckoos’s Nest. Now I know what it feels like to have the inmates running the asylum.